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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Plymouth Parkway v Chertsey Town: numbers & prediction

Non League Premier Southern South · England · Manadon Sports Hub
Plymouth Parkway 41%Draw 22%Chertsey Town 37% Expected goals 1.93 – 1.56
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: Plymouth Parkway to win @ 2.88 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPlymouth Parkway to win ✓41% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28

Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chertsey Town travel to face Plymouth Parkway on Tuesday 17 March in the Non League Premier Southern South, with Manadon Sports Hub the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Plymouth Parkway are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Chertsey Town are 5th (upper half) with 29. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Plymouth Parkway, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Wimborne Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth Parkway 1.9 xG, Chertsey Town 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth Parkway 41%, draw 22%, Chertsey Town 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Plymouth Parkway to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth Parkway 1–1 Chertsey Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Plymouth Parkway41%fair 2.41 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.60
Chertsey Town37%fair 2.70 · @2.05
3.49Expected goals
1.93Plymouth Parkway xG
1.56Chertsey Town xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Plymouth Parkway 1.9 – 1.6 Chertsey Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Plymouth ParkwayChertsey Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Southern South average+27%+22%
Goals conceded vs average-11%+0%
Our expected goals here2.351.50

Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Southern South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlymouth Parkway to win ✓41%2.412.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.53
Draw no betPlymouth Parkway (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapChertsey Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scorePlymouth Parkway to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultPlymouth Parkway ahead at half-time ✓37%2.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plymouth Parkway / FT Plymouth Parkway ✓29%3.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.28–

Recent results

Plymouth Parkway – last 3

WLL
10 Marvs Wimborne Town3–2W
24 Feb@ Hanwell Town2–3L
17 Febvs Walton & Hersham0–4L
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Chertsey Town – last 2

WW
10 Marvs Taunton Town3–1W
3 Marvs Dorchester Town2–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Plymouth Parkway and Chertsey Town.

Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Southern South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Uxbridge161132+1936
2Poole Town161024+1132
3Hanworth Villa16943+1331
4Plymouth Parkway15924+1329
5Chertsey Town16853+1029
6Bath City16925+629
7Chichester City17917+228
8Gosport Borough16736+324
9Wimborne Town13643+1322
10Taunton Town14716+922
11Frome Town15555+320
12Berkhamsted14536-218
13Yate Town16466-818
14Sholing14455-217
15Hanwell Town16457-417
16Basingstoke Town16448-716
17Chippenham Town16448-1216
18Evesham United175111-1616
19Gloucester City14365-315
20Bracknell Town174310-1815
21Malvern Town164210-1714
22Havant & Wville163310-1312

More Non League Premier Southern South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

On our numbers Plymouth Parkway have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chertsey Town 37%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Our predicted score is Plymouth Parkway 1–1 Chertsey Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Manadon Sports Hub.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.