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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Whitby Town v Gainsborough Trinity: numbers & prediction

Non League Premier Northern · England · Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground
Whitby Town 28%Draw 23%Gainsborough Trinity 49% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.84
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.05Odds
2

Value bet: Gainsborough Trinity to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGainsborough Trinity to win ✓49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.29

Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gainsborough Trinity travel to face Whitby Town on Tuesday 17 February in the Non League Premier Northern, with Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Whitby Town are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; Gainsborough Trinity are 8th (upper half) with 29.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Whitby Town 1.2 xG, Gainsborough Trinity 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Whitby Town 28%, draw 23%, Gainsborough Trinity 49%.
  • Price worth noting: Gainsborough Trinity to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Whitby Town 1–2 Gainsborough Trinity. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Whitby Town28%fair 3.63 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Gainsborough Trinity49%fair 2.03 · @2.30
3.04Expected goals
1.20Whitby Town xG
1.84Gainsborough Trinity xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%

From our goals model: Whitby Town 1.2 – 1.8 Gainsborough Trinity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Whitby TownGainsborough Trinity
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average-12%+12%
Goals conceded vs average+58%-5%
Our expected goals here1.432.55

Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGainsborough Trinity to win ✓49%2.032.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betGainsborough Trinity (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapWhitby Town +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.952.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreGainsborough Trinity to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultGainsborough Trinity ahead at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity ✗32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.29–

Recent results

Whitby Town

No recent results on record.

Gainsborough Trinity

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Whitby Town and Gainsborough Trinity.

Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

On our numbers Whitby Town have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gainsborough Trinity 49%.

How many goals will there be in Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Our predicted score is Whitby Town 1–2 Gainsborough Trinity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.