Polokwane City 13%Draw 25%Mamelodi Sundowns 62%Expected goals 0.68 – 1.61
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓62% · @1.48
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polokwane City welcome Mamelodi Sundowns to Old Peter Mokaba Stadium for a Premier Soccer League fixture on Wednesday 29 April (18:30 WAT). In the table, Polokwane City are 11th, lower half, on 8 points after 9 matches; Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st (leading the league) with 26. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Polokwane City, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Stellenbosch, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stellenbosch, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polokwane City 0.7 xG, Mamelodi Sundowns 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polokwane City 13%, draw 25%, Mamelodi Sundowns 62%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polokwane City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polokwane City13%fair 7.55 · @7.75
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.80
Mamelodi Sundowns62%fair 1.62 · @1.48
2.29Expected goals
0.68Polokwane City xG
1.61Mamelodi Sundowns xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Polokwane City 0.7 – 1.6 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mamelodi Sundowns to win✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Double chance
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.35 ▲
Draw no bet
Mamelodi Sundowns (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Polokwane City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Mamelodi Sundowns to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Polokwane City – last 4
WWLW
26 Apr
vs Stellenbosch
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ TS Galaxy
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Orlando Pirates
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Magesi
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
DWWLWW
22 Apr
vs Stellenbosch
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Durban City
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Chippa United
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Stade Malien Bamako
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Marumo Gallants
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs Stade Malien Bamako
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polokwane City and Mamelodi Sundowns.
What is the prediction for Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
On our numbers Polokwane City have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mamelodi Sundowns 62%.
How many goals will there be in Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our predicted score is Polokwane City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
