Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Orlando Pirates to win @ 2.94 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOrlando Pirates to win ✗40% · @2.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 18 February the Premier Soccer League brings Orlando Pirates against Mamelodi Sundowns at Orlando Stadium. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Orlando Pirates are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 9 matches; Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st (leading the league) with 26. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orlando Pirates 1.3 xG, Mamelodi Sundowns 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 35%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando Pirates 40%, draw 29%, Mamelodi Sundowns 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Orlando Pirates to win @2.94 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando Pirates 1–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orlando Pirates40%fair 2.47 · @2.94
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.72
Mamelodi Sundowns31%fair 3.26 · @2.76
2.21Expected goals
1.26Orlando Pirates xG
0.94Mamelodi Sundowns xG
54%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Orlando Pirates 1.3 – 0.9 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orlando Pirates to win✗
40%
2.47
2.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Orlando Pirates (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Mamelodi Sundowns +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.03
First team to score
Orlando Pirates to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orlando Pirates / FT Orlando Pirates✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.07
–
Recent results
Orlando Pirates
No recent results on record.
Mamelodi Sundowns
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns.
What is the prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
On our numbers Orlando Pirates have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Mamelodi Sundowns 31%.
How many goals will there be in Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our predicted score is Orlando Pirates 1–1 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Orlando Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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