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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mamelodi Sundowns v Marumo Gallants: numbers & prediction

Premier Soccer League · South-Africa · Loftus Versfeld Stadium
Mamelodi Sundowns 73%Draw 18%Marumo Gallants 9% Expected goals 2.16 – 0.63
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓73% · @1.24
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.63

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mamelodi Sundowns welcome Marumo Gallants to Loftus Versfeld Stadium for a Premier Soccer League fixture on Tuesday 17 March (18:30 WAT). In the table, Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 10 matches; Marumo Gallants are 15th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Stade Malien Bamako, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mamelodi Sundowns 2.2 xG, Marumo Gallants 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mamelodi Sundowns 73%, draw 18%, Marumo Gallants 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 Marumo Gallants. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mamelodi Sundowns73%fair 1.36 · @1.24
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @5.00
Marumo Gallants9%fair 11.58 · @16.50
2.79Expected goals
2.16Mamelodi Sundowns xG
0.63Marumo Gallants xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%

From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 2.2 – 0.6 Marumo Gallants expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓73%1.361.24
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓91%1.091.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.001.40
Draw no betMamelodi Sundowns (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapMamelodi Sundowns -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.10
First team to scoreMamelodi Sundowns to score first73%1.37–
Half-time resultMamelodi Sundowns ahead at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns ✗48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.63–

Recent results

Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6

WWWWWL
13 Marvs Stade Malien Bamako3–0W
10 Mar@ Orbit College2–0W
4 Marvs Golden Arrows2–1W
1 Marvs Sekhukhune United3–1W
24 Feb@ Amazulu1–0W
21 Feb@ TS Galaxy0–2L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Marumo Gallants – last 2

WL
4 Mar@ Chippa United3–1W
1 Marvs Durban City0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mamelodi Sundowns and Marumo Gallants.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants head-to-head page →

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10820+1826
2Orlando Pirates9810+1925
3Amazulu9711+522
4Milford FC10532+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9351+414
6Sekhukhune United9423014
7Chippa United9252-111
8Stellenbosch9243-110
9Kruger United9315-610
10Golden Arrows9153-28
11Polokwane City9153-38
12TS Galaxy9144-57
13Durban City9144-57
14Siwelele9135-76
15Marumo Gallants9126-85
16Richards Bay9036-123

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?

On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Marumo Gallants 9%.

How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?

Our predicted score is Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 Marumo Gallants, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.