Durban City 17%Draw 26%Mamelodi Sundowns 57%Expected goals 0.81 – 1.52
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓57% · @1.59
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 7 April the Premier Soccer League brings Durban City against Mamelodi Sundowns at Chatsworth Stadium. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Durban City are 13th, lower half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st (leading the league) with 26. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Durban City, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Richards Bay, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Chippa United, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Mamelodi Sundowns, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Durban City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Durban City 0.8 xG, Mamelodi Sundowns 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Durban City 17%, draw 26%, Mamelodi Sundowns 57%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Durban City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Durban City17%fair 5.78 · @6.60
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.45
Mamelodi Sundowns57%fair 1.75 · @1.59
2.33Expected goals
0.81Durban City xG
1.52Mamelodi Sundowns xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Durban City 0.8 – 1.5 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mamelodi Sundowns to win✓
57%
1.75
1.59
Double chance
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Mamelodi Sundowns (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Durban City +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Mamelodi Sundowns to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns✓
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.98
–
Recent results
Durban City – last 5
WLDWW
22 Mar
vs Richards Bay
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Kaizer Chiefs
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Sekhukhune United
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Marumo Gallants
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs TS Galaxy
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
WLWWWW
3 Apr
vs Chippa United
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Stade Malien Bamako
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Marumo Gallants
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs Stade Malien Bamako
3–0
W
10 Mar
@ Orbit College
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Golden Arrows
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durban City and Mamelodi Sundowns.
What is the prediction for Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
On our numbers Durban City have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mamelodi Sundowns 57%.
How many goals will there be in Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our predicted score is Durban City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Chatsworth Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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