Richards Bay 13%Draw 20%Mamelodi Sundowns 67%Expected goals 0.81 – 2.14
74%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.38
8/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win67% · @1.47
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.30
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Premier Soccer League brings Richards Bay against Mamelodi Sundowns at Richards Bay Sports Stadium. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Richards Bay are 16th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 9 matches; Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st (leading the league) with 26. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Richards Bay, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over TS Galaxy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stellenbosch, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Richards Bay 0.8 xG, Mamelodi Sundowns 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 50% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Richards Bay 13%, draw 20%, Mamelodi Sundowns 67%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.38 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Richards Bay 0–2 Mamelodi Sundowns. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Richards Bay13%fair 7.71 · @7.50
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.90
Mamelodi Sundowns67%fair 1.49 · @1.47
2.96Expected goals
0.81Richards Bay xG
2.14Mamelodi Sundowns xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Richards Bay 0.8 – 2.1 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mamelodi Sundowns to win
67%
1.49
1.47
Double chance
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Mamelodi Sundowns (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Mamelodi Sundowns -0.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
1.07
First team to score
Mamelodi Sundowns to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Mamelodi Sundowns ahead at half-time
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Richards Bay – last 6
WDWLLW
19 Apr
@ TS Galaxy
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Orlando Pirates
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Stellenbosch
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Durban City
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Orlando Pirates
0–2
L
3 Mar
vs Kaizer Chiefs
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
DWWLWW
22 Apr
vs Stellenbosch
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Durban City
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Chippa United
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Stade Malien Bamako
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Marumo Gallants
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs Stade Malien Bamako
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns.
What is the prediction for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
On our numbers Richards Bay have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mamelodi Sundowns 67%.
How many goals will there be in Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our predicted score is Richards Bay 0–2 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Richards Bay Sports Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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