Value bet: Durban City to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSiwelele to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.31
Siwelele vs Durban City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Tuesday 5 May: Siwelele v Durban City in the Premier Soccer League, played at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium. In the table, Siwelele are 14th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 9 matches; Durban City are 13th (lower half) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Siwelele, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kaizer Chiefs, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Durban City, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Orbit College, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Siwelele 1.0 xG, Durban City 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Siwelele 40%, draw 28%, Durban City 32%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Durban City to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Siwelele 1–0 Durban City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Siwelele40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.88
Durban City32%fair 3.16 · @3.50
2.03Expected goals
1.04Siwelele xG
0.99Durban City xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–114%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Siwelele 1.0 – 1.0 Durban City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Siwelele to win✗
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.40
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.50
Draw no bet
Siwelele (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Durban City +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Siwelele to score first
45%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.31
–
Recent results
Siwelele – last 5
WDLWD
29 Apr
vs Kaizer Chiefs
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Golden Arrows
0–0
D
7 Apr
@ Chippa United
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Orbit College
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Stellenbosch
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Durban City – last 6
DLWLDW
24 Apr
vs Orbit College
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Mamelodi Sundowns
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Richards Bay
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Kaizer Chiefs
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Sekhukhune United
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Marumo Gallants
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Siwelele and Durban City.
What is the prediction for Siwelele vs Durban City?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Siwelele vs Durban City?
On our numbers Siwelele have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Durban City 32%.
How many goals will there be in Siwelele vs Durban City?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siwelele vs Durban City?
Our predicted score is Siwelele 1–0 Durban City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Siwelele vs Durban City?
Siwelele vs Durban City (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Magesi1
Orbit College2