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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

TS Galaxy v Mamelodi Sundowns: numbers & prediction

Premier Soccer League · South-Africa · Mbombela Stadium
3–2
FT
TS Galaxy 10%Draw 21%Mamelodi Sundowns 69% Expected goals 0.68 – 1.96
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✗69% · @1.36
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✗90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.72

TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 12 May the Premier Soccer League brings TS Galaxy against Mamelodi Sundowns at Mbombela Stadium. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, TS Galaxy are 12th, lower half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st (leading the league) with 26. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

TS Galaxy, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Marumo Gallants, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kaizer Chiefs, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mamelodi Sundowns, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for TS Galaxy.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended TS Galaxy 2–0 Mamelodi Sundowns.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give TS Galaxy 0.7 xG, Mamelodi Sundowns 2.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – TS Galaxy 10%, draw 21%, Mamelodi Sundowns 69%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: TS Galaxy 0–2 Mamelodi Sundowns. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

TS Galaxy10%fair 9.70 · @9.50
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.33
Mamelodi Sundowns69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
2.64Expected goals
0.68TS Galaxy xG
1.96Mamelodi Sundowns xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–214%
1–19%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%

From our goals model: TS Galaxy 0.7 – 2.0 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✗69%1.451.36
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✗90%1.111.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.932.15 ▲
Draw no betMamelodi Sundowns (draw no bet) ✗87%1.15–
Asian handicapMamelodi Sundowns -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.161.11
First team to scoreMamelodi Sundowns to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultMamelodi Sundowns ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.72–

Recent results

TS Galaxy – last 6

DDLLLD
6 May@ Marumo Gallants1–1D
26 Aprvs Magesi0–0D
19 Aprvs Richards Bay0–1L
8 Aprvs Polokwane City1–2L
22 Marvs Orlando Pirates0–6L
13 Mar@ Stellenbosch1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6

DWWDWW
6 Mayvs Kaizer Chiefs1–1D
3 Mayvs Polokwane City3–0W
29 Apr@ Polokwane City1–0W
22 Aprvs Stellenbosch1–1D
7 Apr@ Durban City1–0W
3 Aprvs Chippa United4–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026TS Galaxy v Mamelodi Sundowns2–0
TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns head-to-head page →

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10820+1826
2Orlando Pirates9810+1925
3Amazulu9711+522
4Milford FC10532+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9351+414
6Sekhukhune United9423014
7Chippa United9252-111
8Stellenbosch9243-110
9Kruger United9315-610
10Golden Arrows9153-28
11Polokwane City9153-38
12TS Galaxy9144-57
13Durban City9144-57
14Siwelele9135-76
15Marumo Gallants9126-85
16Richards Bay9036-123

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

On our numbers TS Galaxy have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mamelodi Sundowns 69%.

How many goals will there be in TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our predicted score is TS Galaxy 0–2 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Mbombela Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.