Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mamelodi Sundowns welcome Polokwane City to Loftus Versfeld Stadium for a Premier Soccer League fixture on Sunday 3 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 10 matches; Polokwane City are 11th (lower half) with 8. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Polokwane City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Polokwane City, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mamelodi Sundowns, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Polokwane City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mamelodi Sundowns 1.8 xG, Polokwane City 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mamelodi Sundowns 69%, draw 19%, Polokwane City 11%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Polokwane City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mamelodi Sundowns69%fair 1.44 · @1.28
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.65
Polokwane City11%fair 8.82 · @14.00
2.41Expected goals
1.83Mamelodi Sundowns xG
0.58Polokwane City xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 1.8 – 0.6 Polokwane City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Polokwane City 11%.
How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
Our predicted score is Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Polokwane City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
