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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Magesi v Richards Bay: numbers & prediction

Premier Soccer League · South-Africa · Seshego Stadium

Magesi

LDLWD
1–0
FT
Magesi 56%Draw 27%Richards Bay 17% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.73
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
O1.5

Value bet: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMagesi to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceMagesi or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.33
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.06
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.33

Magesi vs Richards Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Richards Bay travel to face Magesi on Saturday 23 May in the Premier Soccer League, with Seshego Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Magesi, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Orbit College, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Richards Bay, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Polokwane City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Magesi 1.6 xG, Richards Bay 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 32%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Magesi 56%, draw 27%, Richards Bay 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Magesi or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.33.
  • Price worth noting: Over 1.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Magesi 1–0 Richards Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Magesi56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @2.84
Richards Bay17%fair 5.76 · @4.90
2.30Expected goals
1.57Magesi xG
0.73Richards Bay xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–012%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Magesi 1.6 – 0.7 Richards Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMagesi to win ✓56%1.781.95 ▲
Double chanceMagesi or draw ✓83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.841.33
Draw no betMagesi (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapRichards Bay +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.721.90 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.181.06
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.03
First team to scoreMagesi to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Magesi / FT Magesi ✗35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.33–

Recent results

Magesi – last 6

LDLWDL
5 Mayvs Orbit College1–2L
26 Apr@ TS Galaxy0–0D
15 Aprvs Kaizer Chiefs1–4L
7 Aprvs Marumo Gallants3–0W
4 Mar@ Amazulu0–0D
27 Febvs Polokwane City0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Richards Bay – last 6

DWDWLL
6 Mayvs Polokwane City0–0D
19 Apr@ TS Galaxy1–0W
10 Aprvs Orlando Pirates2–2D
7 Aprvs Stellenbosch2–1W
22 Mar@ Durban City0–1L
11 Mar@ Orlando Pirates0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Magesi and Richards Bay.

Magesi vs Richards Bay head-to-head page →

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10820+1826
2Orlando Pirates9810+1925
3Amazulu9711+522
4Milford FC10532+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9351+414
6Sekhukhune United9423014
7Chippa United9252-111
8Stellenbosch9243-110
9Kruger United9315-610
10Golden Arrows9153-28
11Polokwane City9153-38
12TS Galaxy9144-57
13Durban City9144-57
14Siwelele9135-76
15Marumo Gallants9126-85
16Richards Bay9036-123

More Premier Soccer League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Magesi vs Richards Bay?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Magesi vs Richards Bay?

On our numbers Magesi have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Richards Bay 17%.

How many goals will there be in Magesi vs Richards Bay?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Magesi vs Richards Bay?

Our predicted score is Magesi 1–0 Richards Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Magesi vs Richards Bay?

Magesi vs Richards Bay (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Seshego Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.