Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 2.40 – our chance 49% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVillarreal II to win ✓49% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Villarreal II vs Eldense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Wednesday 4 March: Villarreal II v Eldense in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal II 1.7 xG, Eldense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal II 49%, draw 24%, Eldense 27%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Villarreal II to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal II 1–1 Eldense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarreal II49%fair 2.04 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.95
Eldense27%fair 3.74 · @2.90
2.69Expected goals
1.71Villarreal II xG
0.98Eldense xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 1.7 – 1.0 Eldense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Villarreal II
Eldense
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+41%
+9%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+3%
Our expected goals here
2.42
1.01
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✓
49%
2.04
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Villarreal II (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Eldense +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Villarreal II to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✓
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Villarreal II – last 1
W
20 Feb
@ Real Betis II
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Eldense – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Alcorcon
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal II and Eldense.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs Eldense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Eldense?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Eldense 27%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs Eldense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs Eldense?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–1 Eldense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs Eldense?
Villarreal II vs Eldense (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
