Real Murcia vs Antequera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Real Murcia against Antequera at Estadio Enrique Roca. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, Real Murcia are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Antequera are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Real Murcia, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atlético Madrid II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Antequera, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sevilla Atletico, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Antequera, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Real Murcia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia 1.4 xG, Antequera 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia 53%, draw 27%, Antequera 20%.
Lower-risk option: Real Murcia or draw (80%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia 1–0 Antequera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Murcia53%fair 1.90 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.35
Antequera20%fair 4.92 · @4.40
2.27Expected goals
1.44Real Murcia xG
0.83Antequera xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.4 – 0.8 Antequera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Murcia
Antequera
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-14%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.37
0.86
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Double chance
Real Murcia or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.93
Draw no bet
Real Murcia (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Antequera +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Real Murcia to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Real Murcia – last 6
WWLDLL
5 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Marbella
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Sanluqueño
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FC Cartagena
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Antequera – last 5
DWWLW
15 Mar
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Algeciras
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Gimnastic
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Europa Fc
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Hércules
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Antequera.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Antequera?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Antequera?
On our numbers Real Murcia have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Antequera 20%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Antequera?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Antequera?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 Antequera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia vs Antequera?
Real Murcia vs Antequera (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
