Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Marbella to win @ 2.65 – our chance 48% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMarbella to win ✓48% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Marbella vs Teruel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Teruel travel to face Marbella on Friday 22 May in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Banús Football Center the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Marbella, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventud Torremolinos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Teruel, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tarazona, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marbella 1.5 xG, Teruel 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marbella 48%, draw 25%, Teruel 27%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Marbella to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marbella 1–1 Teruel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marbella48%fair 2.08 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Teruel27%fair 3.77 · @2.65
2.27Expected goals
1.51Marbella xG
0.76Teruel xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Marbella 1.5 – 0.8 Teruel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marbella
Teruel
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+13%
-45%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.95
0.59
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marbella to win✓
48%
2.08
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Marbella (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Teruel +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Marbella to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marbella / FT Marbella✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Marbella – last 6
LWLLWW
10 May
vs Juventud Torremolinos
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Gimnastic
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Atlético Madrid II
4–5
L
29 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Sevilla Atletico
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Ibiza
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Teruel – last 6
DDWDDW
3 May
vs Tarazona
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Villarreal II
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ibiza
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Teruel.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Marbella vs Teruel?
On our numbers Marbella have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Teruel 27%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Teruel?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Teruel?
Our predicted score is Marbella 1–1 Teruel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Teruel?
Marbella vs Teruel (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Banús Football Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
