Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarakaldo to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arenas Getxo welcome Barakaldo to Estadio Municipal de Fadura for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 1 March (12:00 WAT). In the table, Arenas Getxo are 19th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 11 matches; Barakaldo are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arenas Getxo 1.0 xG, Barakaldo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arenas Getxo 29%, draw 28%, Barakaldo 44%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arenas Getxo 1–1 Barakaldo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arenas Getxo29%fair 3.51 · @3.25
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.00
Barakaldo44%fair 2.28 · @2.15
2.31Expected goals
0.99Arenas Getxo xG
1.32Barakaldo xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Arenas Getxo 1.0 – 1.3 Barakaldo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arenas Getxo
Barakaldo
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-13%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+48%
-20%
Our expected goals here
0.97
1.30
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win✗
44%
2.28
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.05
Draw no bet
Barakaldo (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Arenas Getxo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Barakaldo to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Arenas Getxo
No recent results on record.
Barakaldo – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Osasuna II
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Zamora
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arenas Getxo and Barakaldo.
What is the prediction for Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo?
On our numbers Arenas Getxo have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Barakaldo 44%.
How many goals will there be in Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo?
Our predicted score is Arenas Getxo 1–1 Barakaldo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo?
Arenas Getxo vs Barakaldo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Fadura.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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