Value bet: Celta de Vigo II to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTenerife to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 March the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Celta de Vigo II against Tenerife at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT.
Current form
Celta de Vigo II, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Guadalajara, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celta de Vigo II 1.2 xG, Tenerife 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celta de Vigo II 30%, draw 29%, Tenerife 42%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Celta de Vigo II to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celta de Vigo II30%fair 3.36 · @3.80
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.75
Tenerife42%fair 2.41 · @2.15
2.52Expected goals
1.17Celta de Vigo II xG
1.35Tenerife xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Celta de Vigo II 1.2 – 1.3 Tenerife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Celta de Vigo II
Tenerife
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
+7%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.28
1.35
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tenerife to win✗
42%
2.41
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.93
Draw no bet
Tenerife (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Celta de Vigo II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Tenerife to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tenerife / FT Tenerife✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Celta de Vigo II – last 3
LWW
8 Mar
@ Guadalajara
0–3
L
20 Feb
@ Racing Ferrol
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Real Avilés
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tenerife – last 1
D
27 Feb
vs Real Avilés
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta de Vigo II and Tenerife.
What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife?
On our numbers Celta de Vigo II have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tenerife 42%.
How many goals will there be in Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife?
Our predicted score is Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife?
Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
