Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Racing Ferrol to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRacing Ferrol to win ✗37% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.33
Arenas Getxo vs Racing Ferrol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 8 May: Arenas Getxo v Racing Ferrol in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Municipal de Fadura. In the table, Arenas Getxo are 19th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 11 matches; Racing Ferrol are 6th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Arenas Getxo, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mérida AD, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Racing Ferrol, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Athletic Club II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Arenas Getxo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Racing Ferrol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arenas Getxo 1.0 xG, Racing Ferrol 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arenas Getxo 32%, draw 31%, Racing Ferrol 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Racing Ferrol to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arenas Getxo 1–1 Racing Ferrol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arenas Getxo32%fair 3.13 · @2.75
Draw31%fair 3.18 · @2.55
Racing Ferrol37%fair 2.73 · @2.95
2.26Expected goals
1.03Arenas Getxo xG
1.23Racing Ferrol xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Arenas Getxo 1.0 – 1.2 Racing Ferrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arenas Getxo
Racing Ferrol
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-13%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+48%
-27%
Our expected goals here
0.88
1.19
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Ferrol to win✗
37%
2.73
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.46
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
Racing Ferrol (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Arenas Getxo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Racing Ferrol to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Ferrol / FT Racing Ferrol✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.33
–
Recent results
Arenas Getxo – last 6
WWWDDW
24 Apr
vs Mérida AD
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Pontevedra
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Arenteiro
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Lugo
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Athletic Club II
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Barakaldo
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Racing Ferrol – last 3
WLL
19 Apr
@ Athletic Club II
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Guadalajara
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Celta de Vigo II
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arenas Getxo and Racing Ferrol.
What is the prediction for Arenas Getxo vs Racing Ferrol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Racing Ferrol?
On our numbers Arenas Getxo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Racing Ferrol 37%.
How many goals will there be in Arenas Getxo vs Racing Ferrol?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arenas Getxo vs Racing Ferrol?
Our predicted score is Arenas Getxo 1–1 Racing Ferrol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arenas Getxo vs Racing Ferrol?
Arenas Getxo vs Racing Ferrol (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Fadura.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
