Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Riyadh travel to face Al Shabab on Monday 23 February in the Pro League, with SHG Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Al Shabab are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Al Riyadh are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Shabab 2.1 xG, Al Riyadh 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Shabab 64%, draw 22%, Al Riyadh 14%.
Lower-risk option: Al Shabab or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Shabab 2–0 Al Riyadh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Shabab64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.95
Al Riyadh14%fair 6.93 · @5.40
3.00Expected goals
2.09Al Shabab xG
0.91Al Riyadh xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Shabab 2.1 – 0.9 Al Riyadh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Shabab to win✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Double chance
Al Shabab or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Al Shabab (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Al Shabab -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.11
First team to score
Al Shabab to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Al Shabab ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shabab / FT Al Shabab✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Al Shabab – last 2
WL
20 Feb
@ Damac
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–5
L
2.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al Riyadh – last 1
W
19 Feb
@ Al Kholood
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Shabab and Al Riyadh.
What is the prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
On our numbers Al Shabab have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Riyadh 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Our predicted score is Al Shabab 2–0 Al Riyadh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh (Pro League) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SHG Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Damac0
Al Okhdood1