Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Shabab to win ✓52% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Shabab or draw ✓77% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Damac vs Al Shabab: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Damac welcome Al Shabab to Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium for a Pro League fixture on Friday 20 February (20:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Damac 1.1 xG, Al Shabab 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Damac 23%, draw 24%, Al Shabab 52%.
Lower-risk option: Al Shabab or draw (77%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Shabab or draw (77%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Damac 1–1 Al Shabab. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Damac23%fair 4.27 · @4.33
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.50
Al Shabab52%fair 1.91 · @1.80
2.76Expected goals
1.14Damac xG
1.62Al Shabab xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Damac 1.1 – 1.6 Al Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Shabab to win✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Double chance
Al Shabab or draw✓
77%
1.31
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Al Shabab (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Damac +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Al Shabab to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shabab / FT Al Shabab✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Damac
No recent results on record.
Al Shabab – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–5
L
2.0Scored / game
5.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Damac and Al Shabab.
Our pick is Al Shabab or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Damac vs Al Shabab?
On our numbers Damac have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al Shabab 52%.
How many goals will there be in Damac vs Al Shabab?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Damac vs Al Shabab?
Our predicted score is Damac 1–1 Al Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Damac vs Al Shabab?
Damac vs Al Shabab (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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