Al Riyadh 14%Draw 18%Al-Ahli Jeddah 67%Expected goals 1.00 – 2.14
67%
Betarazi pick
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl-Ahli Jeddah to win ✓67% · @1.30
Double chanceAl-Ahli Jeddah or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Ahli Jeddah travel to face Al Riyadh on Thursday 26 February in the Pro League, with Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Al Riyadh are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Al-Ahli Jeddah, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Damac, away. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Riyadh 1.0 xG, Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Riyadh 14%, draw 18%, Al-Ahli Jeddah 67%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Ahli Jeddah to win (67%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Riyadh 0–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Riyadh14%fair 6.97 · @8.80
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @5.20
Al-Ahli Jeddah67%fair 1.49 · @1.30
3.13Expected goals
1.00Al Riyadh xG
2.14Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Al Riyadh 1.0 – 2.1 Al-Ahli Jeddah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win✓
67%
1.49
1.30
Double chance
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Al-Ahli Jeddah (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Al-Ahli Jeddah -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
Al-Ahli Jeddah to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Al-Ahli Jeddah ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Al Riyadh – last 2
LW
23 Feb
@ Al Shabab
1–3
L
19 Feb
@ Al Kholood
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 4
WWWW
23 Feb
@ Damac
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Al Najma
4–1
W
16 Feb
vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
4–3
W
13 Feb
@ Al Shabab
5–2
W
3.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Riyadh and Al-Ahli Jeddah.
What is the prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
On our numbers Al Riyadh have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Al-Ahli Jeddah 67%.
How many goals will there be in Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our predicted score is Al Riyadh 0–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Damac1