Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl-Hilal Saudi FC to win ✓81% · @1.07
Double chanceAl-Hilal Saudi FC or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Najma travel to face Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Friday 6 March in the Pro League, with Kingdom Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Al-Hilal Saudi FC, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Al Shabab, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2.8 xG, Al Najma 0.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Hilal Saudi FC 81%, draw 12%, Al Najma 7%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–0 Al Najma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Hilal Saudi FC81%fair 1.24 · @1.07
Draw12%fair 8.02 · @10.25
Al Najma7%fair 14.39 · @26.00
3.62Expected goals
2.83Al-Hilal Saudi FC xG
0.79Al Najma xG
53%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–010%
2–18%
3–18%
1–08%
4–07%
From our goals model: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2.8 – 0.8 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win✓
81%
1.24
1.07
Double chance
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Al-Hilal Saudi FC (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Al-Hilal Saudi FC -1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.60
First team to score
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to score first✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Al-Hilal Saudi FC ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Hilal Saudi FC / FT Al-Hilal Saudi FC✓
56%
1.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Al-Hilal Saudi FC – last 4
WDWW
27 Feb
@ Al Shabab
5–3
W
24 Feb
@ Al Taawon
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Al Wahda FC
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Al-Ettifaq
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Najma – last 2
LL
25 Feb
vs Al-Nassr
0–5
L
19 Feb
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al Najma.
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al-Hilal Saudi FC have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Al Najma 7%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–0 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Najma (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Kingdom Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
