Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓80% · @1.04
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓94% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.05
Al-Nassr vs Al Najma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Najma travel to face Al-Nassr on Friday 3 April in the Pro League, with Al-Awwal Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Al Najma, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Damac, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Al Najma 0–5 Al-Nassr.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Nassr 3.0 xG, Al Najma 0.9 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Nassr 80%, draw 13%, Al Najma 6%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Nassr 3–0 Al Najma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Nassr80%fair 1.25 · @1.04
Draw13%fair 7.44 · @12.00
Al Najma6%fair 15.80 · @34.00
3.91Expected goals
2.97Al-Nassr xG
0.94Al Najma xG
52%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
3–09%
2–18%
3–18%
4–07%
4–16%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 3.0 – 0.9 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Al Najma 6%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Al Najma?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 3–0 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Al Najma?
Al-Nassr vs Al Najma (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
