Al Riyadh 23%Draw 23%Al Shabab 54%Expected goals 1.15 – 1.85
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Shabab to win ✗54% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Riyadh welcome Al Shabab to Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium for a Pro League fixture on Sunday 5 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Al Riyadh are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Al Shabab are 10th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Riyadh, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Al-Ittihad FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Al Shabab, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Al-Hilal Saudi FC, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Al Shabab 3–1 Al Riyadh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Riyadh 1.2 xG, Al Shabab 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Riyadh 23%, draw 23%, Al Shabab 54%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Riyadh 1–1 Al Shabab. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Riyadh23%fair 4.32 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.65
Al Shabab54%fair 1.84 · @1.90
3.01Expected goals
1.15Al Riyadh xG
1.85Al Shabab xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Al Riyadh 1.2 – 1.9 Al Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab?
On our numbers Al Riyadh have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Shabab 54%.
How many goals will there be in Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab?
Our predicted score is Al Riyadh 1–1 Al Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab?
Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab (Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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