Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Fateh travel to face Al-Ahli Jeddah on Wednesday 6 May in the Pro League, with King Abdullah Sports City the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Al-Fateh are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al-Ahli Jeddah, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Al-Nassr, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Al-Fateh, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Shabab, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.4 xG, Al-Fateh 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Ahli Jeddah 70%, draw 18%, Al-Fateh 12%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Ahli Jeddah to win (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Al-Fateh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Ahli Jeddah70%fair 1.44 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.80
Al-Fateh12%fair 8.29 · @8.60
3.23Expected goals
2.37Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
0.86Al-Fateh xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.4 – 0.9 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Double chance
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Al-Ahli Jeddah (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Al-Ahli Jeddah -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
Al-Ahli Jeddah to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Al-Ahli Jeddah ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
LWWDLW
29 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
0–2
L
20 Apr
@ Vissel Kobe
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Al-Duhail SC
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–3
L
6 Mar
vs Al-Ittihad FC
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh – last 6
DWLLDW
28 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Okhdood
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Al Taawon
2–3
L
26 Feb
vs Damac
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Al Okhdood
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Fateh.
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers Al-Ahli Jeddah have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Al-Fateh 12%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
