Al Najma vs Al Taawon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Pro League brings Al Najma against Al Taawon at Al-Najma Club Stadium. Kick-off: 17:10 WAT.
Current form
Al Najma, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Al-Nassr, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Al Taawon, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with NEOM, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Al Taawon, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Al Najma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najma 1.4 xG, Al Taawon 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najma 28%, draw 25%, Al Taawon 47%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najma 1–1 Al Taawon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najma28%fair 3.57 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.70
Al Taawon47%fair 2.11 · @1.73
2.87Expected goals
1.36Al Najma xG
1.51Al Taawon xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.4 – 1.5 Al Taawon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Taawon to win✓
47%
2.11
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Draw no bet
Al Taawon (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Al Najma +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
First team to score
Al Taawon to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Taawon / FT Al Taawon✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Al Najma – last 5
LLLLL
3 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
2–5
L
12 Mar
vs Damac
1–3
L
6 Mar
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–4
L
25 Feb
vs Al-Nassr
0–5
L
19 Feb
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al Taawon – last 4
DWDL
12 Mar
@ NEOM
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Al-Fateh
3–2
W
24 Feb
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Al-Fayha
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Al Taawon.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Taawon 47%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–1 Al Taawon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
Al Najma vs Al Taawon (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 17:10 (West Africa Time) at Al-Najma Club Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Damac2
Al Okhdood0