Al Shabab 60%Draw 19%Al-Fateh 20%Expected goals 2.14 – 1.01
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Al Shabab to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Shabab to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Fateh travel to face Al Shabab on Tuesday 28 April in the Pro League, with Al-Shabab Club Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Al Shabab are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Al-Fateh are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Al Shabab, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Al-Rayyan SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Al-Fateh, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Khaleej Saihat, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Shabab 2.1 xG, Al-Fateh 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Shabab 60%, draw 19%, Al-Fateh 20%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Al Shabab to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Shabab 2–1 Al-Fateh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Shabab60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.00
Al-Fateh20%fair 4.90 · @3.75
3.15Expected goals
2.14Al Shabab xG
1.01Al-Fateh xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Al Shabab 2.1 – 1.0 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Shabab to win✗
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Draw no bet
Al Shabab (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Al Shabab -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
Al Shabab to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Al Shabab ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shabab / FT Al Shabab✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Al Shabab – last 6
LDDDLW
23 Apr
vs Al-Rayyan SC
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Zakho
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Al Riyadh
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3–5
L
23 Feb
vs Al Riyadh
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh – last 6
WLLDWL
24 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Okhdood
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Al Taawon
2–3
L
26 Feb
vs Damac
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Al Okhdood
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Shabab and Al-Fateh.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers Al Shabab have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Al-Fateh 20%.
How many goals will there be in Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is Al Shabab 2–1 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh?
Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Shabab Club Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Najma1
Damac0