Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League, played at Al-Awwal Park. In the table, Al-Nassr are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Al-Nassr, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Al Ahli Doha, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Al-Ahli Jeddah, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vissel Kobe, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al-Nassr, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Nassr 2.2 xG, Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Nassr 57%, draw 20%, Al-Ahli Jeddah 23%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Nassr 2–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Nassr57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.00
Al-Ahli Jeddah23%fair 4.32 · @3.75
3.57Expected goals
2.20Al-Nassr xG
1.36Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.2 – 1.4 Al-Ahli Jeddah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Draw no bet
Al-Nassr (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Al-Ahli Jeddah +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Al-Nassr – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Apr
vs Al Ahli Doha
5–1
W
19 Apr
@ Al-Wasl FC
4–0
W
15 Apr
vs Al-Ettifaq
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Al Najma
5–2
W
25 Feb
@ Al Najma
5–0
W
18 Feb
vs Arkadag
1–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
WWDLWW
20 Apr
@ Vissel Kobe
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Al-Duhail SC
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–3
L
6 Mar
vs Al-Ittihad FC
3–1
W
26 Feb
@ Al Riyadh
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli Jeddah.
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al-Ahli Jeddah 23%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 2–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
