Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Fayha welcome Al Riyadh to King Abdullah Sports City Stadium for a Pro League fixture on Monday 4 May (17:10 WAT). In the table, Al-Fayha are 13th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Al Riyadh are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al-Fayha, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Kholood, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Al Riyadh, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Al-Qadisiyah FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Fayha 1.6 xG, Al Riyadh 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Fayha 45%, draw 25%, Al Riyadh 30%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Fayha 1–1 Al Riyadh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Fayha45%fair 2.22 · @2.33
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.25
Al Riyadh30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
2.76Expected goals
1.59Al-Fayha xG
1.17Al Riyadh xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al-Fayha 1.6 – 1.2 Al Riyadh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Fayha to win✓
45%
2.22
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.83
Draw no bet
Al-Fayha (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Al Riyadh +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Al-Fayha to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Fayha / FT Al-Fayha✓
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Al-Fayha – last 5
DWDWL
30 Apr
@ Al Kholood
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al-Ettifaq
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs NEOM
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Al Taawon
3–2
W
13 Feb
@ Al-Ittihad FC
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Al Riyadh – last 6
LLWDWL
29 Apr
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–4
L
24 Apr
@ Al-Hazm
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs Al Shabab
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al-Ittihad FC
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Damac
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
On our numbers Al-Fayha have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Riyadh 30%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
Our predicted score is Al-Fayha 1–1 Al Riyadh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh (Pro League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:10 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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