Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Fateh to win ✓53% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Al-Fateh vs Al Najma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 14 May the Pro League brings Al-Fateh against Al Najma at Al Fateh Club Stadium. Kick-off: 16:55 WAT.
Current form
Al-Fateh, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Al-Ahli Jeddah, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Al Najma, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al-Ettifaq, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al-Fateh, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Al Najma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Fateh 1.7 xG, Al Najma 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Fateh 53%, draw 21%, Al Najma 25%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Fateh 2–1 Al Najma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Fateh53%fair 1.87 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.75
Al Najma25%fair 3.94 · @6.00
3.09Expected goals
1.69Al-Fateh xG
1.41Al Najma xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
2–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Al-Fateh 1.7 – 1.4 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Fateh to win✓
53%
1.87
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Draw no bet
Al-Fateh (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Al Najma +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.35
First team to score
Al-Fateh to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Fateh / FT Al-Fateh✓
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Al-Fateh – last 6
LDWLLD
6 May
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–3
L
28 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Okhdood
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Al Taawon
2–3
L
26 Feb
vs Damac
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Najma – last 6
DLLLLL
4 May
@ Al-Ettifaq
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ Al Khaleej Saihat
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Al Taawon
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
2–5
L
12 Mar
vs Damac
1–3
L
6 Mar
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Fateh and Al Najma.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al-Fateh have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Najma 25%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Fateh vs Al Najma?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Fateh vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al-Fateh 2–1 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al-Fateh vs Al Najma?
Al-Fateh vs Al Najma (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 16:55 (West Africa Time) at Al Fateh Club Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
