Al Najma 20%Draw 22%Al Shabab 57%Expected goals 1.29 – 1.96
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Shabab to win ✗57% · @1.44
Double chanceAl Shabab or draw ✗80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Al Najma vs Al Shabab: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 20 May the Pro League brings Al Najma against Al Shabab at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Al Najma, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Al-Fateh, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Al Shabab, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Al-Ittihad FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Shabab, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Al Najma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najma 1.3 xG, Al Shabab 2.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najma 20%, draw 22%, Al Shabab 57%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najma 1–1 Al Shabab. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najma20%fair 4.89 · @6.20
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.75
Al Shabab57%fair 1.75 · @1.44
3.25Expected goals
1.29Al Najma xG
1.96Al Shabab xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.3 – 2.0 Al Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Shabab to win✗
57%
1.75
1.44
Double chance
Al Shabab or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.53
Draw no bet
Al Shabab (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Al Najma +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
First team to score
Al Shabab to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Al Shabab ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shabab / FT Al Shabab✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Al Najma – last 6
LDLLLL
14 May
@ Al-Fateh
0–2
L
4 May
@ Al-Ettifaq
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ Al Khaleej Saihat
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Al Taawon
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
2–5
L
12 Mar
vs Damac
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Shabab – last 6
WLLDLD
17 May
vs Al-Ittihad FC
3–2
W
11 May
@ NEOM
1–2
L
7 May
vs Al-Nassr
2–4
L
28 Apr
vs Al-Fateh
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Al-Rayyan SC
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Zakho
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Al Shabab.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Shabab 57%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–1 Al Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
Al Najma vs Al Shabab (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
