Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultTriestina to win ✗38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.54
Triestina vs Novara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Triestina welcome Novara to Stadio Nereo Rocco for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Sunday 15 February (12:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Triestina 1.2 xG, Novara 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Triestina 38%, draw 28%, Novara 34%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Triestina 1–1 Novara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Triestina38%fair 2.61 · @2.55
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.95
Novara34%fair 2.96 · @2.70
2.33Expected goals
1.21Triestina xG
1.12Novara xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Triestina 1.2 – 1.1 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Triestina
Novara
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
-8%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.25
1.16
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triestina to win✗
38%
2.61
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Triestina (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Novara +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Triestina to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triestina / FT Triestina✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.54
–
Recent results
Triestina
No recent results on record.
Novara
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Triestina and Novara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Triestina vs Novara?
On our numbers Triestina have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Novara 34%.
How many goals will there be in Triestina vs Novara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triestina vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Triestina 1–1 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Triestina vs Novara?
Triestina vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nereo Rocco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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