Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Lecco to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLecco to win ✓46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Alcione vs Lecco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lecco travel to face Alcione on Friday 10 April in the Serie C Girone A, with Stadio Ernesto Breda the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Alcione are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Lecco are 7th (upper half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alcione, last 4: LDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Novara, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Lecco, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vicenza Virtus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcione 1.0 xG, Lecco 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcione 29%, draw 26%, Lecco 46%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Lecco to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcione 0–1 Lecco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcione29%fair 3.48 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Lecco46%fair 2.19 · @2.45
2.40Expected goals
0.98Alcione xG
1.42Lecco xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
0–09%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Alcione 1.0 – 1.4 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alcione
Lecco
Attack vs Serie C Girone A average
+14%
+35%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-24%
Our expected goals here
1.12
1.83
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✓
46%
2.19
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Lecco (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Alcione +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Lecco to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✓
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Alcione – last 4
LDDW
22 Mar
@ Novara
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Union Brescia
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Giana Erminio
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Vicenza Virtus
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Lecco – last 6
WLWDLD
3 Apr
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Cittadella
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Pro Patria
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Novara
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Renate
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Albinoleffe
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcione and Lecco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alcione vs Lecco?
On our numbers Alcione have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lecco 46%.
How many goals will there be in Alcione vs Lecco?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcione vs Lecco?
Our predicted score is Alcione 0–1 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alcione vs Lecco?
Alcione vs Lecco (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
