SS Monopoli 52%Draw 29%Casarano 19%Expected goals 1.43 – 0.80
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSS Monopoli to win ✓52% · @1.85
Double chanceSS Monopoli or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.34
SS Monopoli vs Casarano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SS Monopoli welcome Casarano to Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Monday 9 March (20:30 WAT). In the table, SS Monopoli are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Casarano are 17th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
SS Monopoli, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Giugliano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SS Monopoli 1.4 xG, Casarano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SS Monopoli 52%, draw 29%, Casarano 19%.
Lower-risk option: SS Monopoli or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: SS Monopoli 1–0 Casarano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SS Monopoli52%fair 1.93 · @1.85
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @3.10
Casarano19%fair 5.27 · @4.10
2.24Expected goals
1.43SS Monopoli xG
0.80Casarano xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: SS Monopoli 1.4 – 0.8 Casarano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Monopoli to win✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Double chance
SS Monopoli or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.00
Draw no bet
SS Monopoli (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Casarano +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
SS Monopoli to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Monopoli / FT SS Monopoli✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
SS Monopoli – last 3
LDW
5 Mar
@ Giugliano
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Crotone
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Salernitana
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Casarano – last 2
DL
5 Mar
vs Siracusa
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Audace Cerignola
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Monopoli and Casarano.
What is the prediction for SS Monopoli vs Casarano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Casarano?
On our numbers SS Monopoli have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Casarano 19%.
How many goals will there be in SS Monopoli vs Casarano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Monopoli vs Casarano?
Our predicted score is SS Monopoli 1–0 Casarano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is SS Monopoli vs Casarano?
SS Monopoli vs Casarano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atalanta II3