Value bet: Sorrento to win @ 4.33 – our chance 28% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCrotone to win ✗45% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.67
Sorrento vs Crotone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crotone travel to face Sorrento on Sunday 22 March in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Sorrento are 9th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Crotone are 20th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sorrento, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Audace Cerignola, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Crotone, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Salernitana, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Crotone, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.6 for Sorrento.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sorrento 1.2 xG, Crotone 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sorrento 28%, draw 27%, Crotone 45%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Sorrento to win @4.33 – the bookmaker implies 23%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sorrento 1–1 Crotone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sorrento28%fair 3.55 · @4.33
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.20
Crotone45%fair 2.22 · @1.80
2.39Expected goals
1.19Sorrento xG
1.21Crotone xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sorrento 1.2 – 1.2 Crotone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crotone to win✗
45%
2.22
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Crotone (draw no bet)
62%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Sorrento +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Crotone to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crotone / FT Crotone✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.67
–
Recent results
Sorrento – last 5
LLLLW
15 Mar
@ Audace Cerignola
2–3
L
8 Mar
vs Benevento
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Latina
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Cosenza
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Siracusa
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Crotone – last 5
LWWDW
15 Mar
vs Salernitana
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Trapani 1905
4–1
W
5 Mar
vs Cavese
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ SS Monopoli
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Foggia
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sorrento and Crotone.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sorrento vs Crotone?
On our numbers Sorrento have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Crotone 45%.
How many goals will there be in Sorrento vs Crotone?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sorrento vs Crotone?
Our predicted score is Sorrento 1–1 Crotone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sorrento vs Crotone?
Sorrento vs Crotone (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Siracusa2
Latina1
Trapani 19052