Cavese v Casertana Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCavese to win40% · @2.33

Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.93

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.68

Cavese vs Casertana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 April the Serie C Girone C brings Cavese against Casertana at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Cavese are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Casertana are 8th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Cavese, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Foggia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Casertana, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SS Monopoli, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Casertana, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Cavese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cavese 1.3 xG, Casertana 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Cavese 40%, draw 26%, Casertana 34%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cavese 1–1 Casertana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cavese40%fair 2.53 · @2.33

Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.00

Casertana34%fair 2.94 · @2.90

2.51Expected goals

1.34Cavese xG

1.17Casertana xG

54%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–19%

2–19%

0–08%

1–27%

From our goals model: Cavese 1.3 – 1.2 Casertana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Cavese to win	40%	2.53	2.33
Double chance	Either team to win	74%	1.36	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	54%	1.86	1.93
Draw no bet	Cavese (draw no bet)	54%	1.86	–
Asian handicap	Casertana +1 (Asian handicap)	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	68%	1.47	1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	57%	1.76	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	77%	1.29	1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Cavese to score first	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Cavese / FT Cavese	24%	4.22	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	11.68	–

Cavese – last 3

DLL

22 Mar	vs Foggia	0–0	D
5 Mar	@ Crotone	0–2	L
21 Feb	@ Trapani 1905	0–2	L

0.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Casertana – last 4

WDWL

15 Mar	vs SS Monopoli	2–1	W
9 Mar	@ Catania	0–0	D
5 Mar	vs Salernitana	1–0	W
1 Mar	@ Siracusa	0–4	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

25%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	13	10	2	1	+17	32
2	Bari	13	6	5	2	+7	23
3	Catania	13	7	1	5	+13	22
4	Scafatese	13	5	6	2	+5	21
5	Audace Cerignola	13	6	2	5	+5	20
6	SS Monopoli	13	5	5	3	+4	20
7	Inter U23	13	6	2	5	+2	20
8	Casertana	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Sorrento	13	6	2	5	+1	20
10	AZ Picerno	13	6	1	6	+3	19
11	Cavese	13	4	4	5	+1	16
12	Team Altamura	13	4	4	5	-6	16
13	Giugliano	13	5	1	7	-12	16
14	Salernitana	13	3	6	4	-2	15
15	Barletta	13	3	6	4	-2	15
16	Foggia	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Casarano	13	4	3	6	-6	15
18	Savoia	13	2	6	5	-7	12
19	Cosenza	13	2	4	7	-13	10
20	Crotone	13	1	4	8	-9	1

Team

Pts

+17

+13

-6

-12

-2

-2

-3

-6

-7

-13

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cavese vs Casertana?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Cavese vs Casertana?

On our numbers Cavese have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Casertana 34%.

How many goals will there be in Cavese vs Casertana?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cavese vs Casertana?

Our predicted score is Cavese 1–1 Casertana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Cavese vs Casertana?

Cavese vs Casertana (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Cavese v Casertana: numbers & prediction