Value bet: Catania to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCatania to win ✗41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Crotone vs Catania: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 13 April the Serie C Girone C brings Crotone against Catania at Stadio Ezio Scida. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Crotone are 20th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 13 matches; Catania are 3rd (among the top four) with 22. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Crotone, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Giugliano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Catania, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AZ Picerno, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Crotone, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Catania.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crotone 1.1 xG, Catania 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crotone 32%, draw 27%, Catania 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Catania to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crotone 1–1 Catania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crotone32%fair 3.11 · @2.65
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.90
Catania41%fair 2.45 · @2.65
2.46Expected goals
1.07Crotone xG
1.39Catania xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Crotone 1.1 – 1.4 Catania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Catania to win✗
41%
2.45
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Catania (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Crotone +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Catania to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Catania / FT Catania✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Crotone – last 6
LWDLWW
6 Apr
@ Giugliano
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Audace Cerignola
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Sorrento
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Salernitana
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Trapani 1905
4–1
W
5 Mar
vs Cavese
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Catania – last 6
LDWDLD
6 Apr
vs AZ Picerno
1–2
L
23 Mar
vs Casarano
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Team Altamura
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Casertana
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Benevento
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Salernitana
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crotone and Catania.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Crotone vs Catania?
On our numbers Crotone have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Catania 41%.
How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Catania?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crotone vs Catania?
Our predicted score is Crotone 1–1 Catania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Crotone vs Catania?
Crotone vs Catania (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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