Value bet: El Mansura to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEl Mansura to win ✓46% · @2.40
Double chanceEl Mansura or draw ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.27
Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Thursday 23 April: Raya Ghazl v El Mansura in the Second League, played at Tolip Stadium.
Current form
Raya Ghazl, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
El Mansura, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tersana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours El Mansura, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Raya Ghazl.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raya Ghazl 0.8 xG, El Mansura 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raya Ghazl 24%, draw 30%, El Mansura 46%.
Lower-risk option: El Mansura or draw (76%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: El Mansura to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was El Mansura or draw (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raya Ghazl 0–1 El Mansura. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raya Ghazl24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
Draw30%fair 3.36 · @2.50
El Mansura46%fair 2.18 · @2.40
2.10Expected goals
0.80Raya Ghazl xG
1.31El Mansura xG
47%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
1–113%
0–012%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Raya Ghazl 0.8 – 1.3 El Mansura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Raya Ghazl
El Mansura
Attack vs Second League average
-26%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+35%
-14%
Our expected goals here
0.82
1.54
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mansura to win✓
46%
2.18
2.40 ▲
Double chance
El Mansura or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.50
Draw no bet
El Mansura (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Raya Ghazl +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
El Mansura to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Mansura / FT El Mansura✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.27
–
Recent results
Raya Ghazl – last 6
LLLLDL
17 Apr
@ Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0–4
L
10 Apr
@ Tersana
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs La Viena FC
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Itesalat
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Dayrout
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ Proxy
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
El Mansura – last 6
DDDLDL
17 Apr
vs Tersana
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ La Viena FC
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Itesalat
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Dayrout
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Proxy
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ Aswan Sc
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raya Ghazl and El Mansura.
What is the prediction for Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
Our pick is El Mansura or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
On our numbers Raya Ghazl have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 30% and El Mansura 46%.
How many goals will there be in Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
Our predicted score is Raya Ghazl 0–1 El Mansura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura?
Raya Ghazl vs El Mansura (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Tolip Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Asyut Petrol1
Aswan Sc0
Olympic El Qanah1