Value bet: El Mansura to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAsyut Petrol to win ✗37% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.08
El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Thursday 7 May: El Mansura v Asyut Petrol in the Second League, played at al-Man?urah Stadium.
Current form
El Mansura, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Asyut Petrol, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Raya Ghazl, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Mansura 1.1 xG, Asyut Petrol 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Mansura 32%, draw 31%, Asyut Petrol 37%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: El Mansura to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Mansura 1–0 Asyut Petrol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Mansura32%fair 3.09 · @3.80
Draw31%fair 3.27 · @2.50
Asyut Petrol37%fair 2.70 · @2.20
2.12Expected goals
1.09El Mansura xG
1.03Asyut Petrol xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: El Mansura 1.1 – 1.0 Asyut Petrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Mansura
Asyut Petrol
Attack vs Second League average
+10%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.33
1.01
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asyut Petrol to win✗
37%
2.70
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.44
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.44
Draw no bet
Asyut Petrol (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Asyut Petrol +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
El Mansura to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Mansura / FT El Mansura✗
21%
4.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.08
–
Recent results
El Mansura – last 6
DWDDDL
30 Apr
@ Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0–0
D
23 Apr
@ Raya Ghazl
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Tersana
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ La Viena FC
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Itesalat
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Dayrout
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Asyut Petrol – last 6
WLLWDD
30 Apr
vs Raya Ghazl
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Tersana
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs La Viena FC
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Itesalat
3–0
W
2 Apr
vs Dayrout
2–2
D
26 Mar
@ Proxy
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Mansura and Asyut Petrol.
What is the prediction for El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol?
On our numbers El Mansura have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Asyut Petrol 37%.
How many goals will there be in El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol?
Our predicted score is El Mansura 1–0 Asyut Petrol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol?
El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at al-Man?urah Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aswan Sc0
Abu Qair Semad0
Raya Ghazl1
Olympic El Qanah1