Muğlaspor 66%Draw 22%Erzin Spor 13%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.81
66%
Betarazi pick
Muğlaspor to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultMuğlaspor to win ✗66% · @1.40
Double chanceMuğlaspor or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Muğlaspor vs Erzin Spor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Muğlaspor v Erzin Spor in the 2. Lig, played at Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Muğlaspor 2.0 xG, Erzin Spor 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Muğlaspor 66%, draw 22%, Erzin Spor 13%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Muğlaspor to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muğlaspor 1–0 Erzin Spor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Muğlaspor66%fair 1.52 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.70
Erzin Spor13%fair 7.82 · @7.50
2.79Expected goals
1.98Muğlaspor xG
0.81Erzin Spor xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Muğlaspor 2.0 – 0.8 Erzin Spor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muğlaspor to win✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Double chance
Muğlaspor or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Draw no bet
Muğlaspor (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Muğlaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Muğlaspor to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Muğlaspor ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muğlaspor / FT Muğlaspor✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Muğlaspor – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Erbaaspor
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Erzin Spor – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Kastamonuspor 1966
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muğlaspor and Erzin Spor.
What is the prediction for Muğlaspor vs Erzin Spor?
Our pick is Muğlaspor to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Muğlaspor vs Erzin Spor?
On our numbers Muğlaspor have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Erzin Spor 13%.
How many goals will there be in Muğlaspor vs Erzin Spor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muğlaspor vs Erzin Spor?
Our predicted score is Muğlaspor 1–0 Erzin Spor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Muğlaspor vs Erzin Spor?
Muğlaspor vs Erzin Spor (2. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.