Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Karacabey Belediyespor to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKaracabey Belediyespor to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceKaracabey Belediyespor or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kastamonuspor travel to face Karacabey Belediyespor on Saturday 4 April in the 2. Lig, with Karacabey M. Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Karacabey Belediyespor are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Kastamonuspor are 15th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Karacabey Belediyespor, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Şanlıurfaspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Kastamonuspor, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Batman Petrolspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Karacabey Belediyespor, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Kastamonuspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karacabey Belediyespor 2.1 xG, Kastamonuspor 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karacabey Belediyespor 60%, draw 24%, Kastamonuspor 16%.
Lower-risk option: Karacabey Belediyespor or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Karacabey Belediyespor to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Karacabey Belediyespor or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karacabey Belediyespor 2–0 Kastamonuspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karacabey Belediyespor60%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.10
Kastamonuspor16%fair 6.38 · @3.90
3.02Expected goals
2.12Karacabey Belediyespor xG
0.89Kastamonuspor xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Karacabey Belediyespor 2.1 – 0.9 Kastamonuspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karacabey Belediyespor to win✓
60%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Karacabey Belediyespor or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Karacabey Belediyespor (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Karacabey Belediyespor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Karacabey Belediyespor to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Karacabey Belediyespor ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karacabey Belediyespor / FT Karacabey Belediyespor✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Karacabey Belediyespor – last 6
DWLWDL
29 Mar
@ Şanlıurfaspor
2–2
D
25 Mar
vs Karaman FK
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Batman Petrolspor
1–4
L
7 Mar
vs Altınordu
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Ankaragücü
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kastamonuspor – last 6
LLLLDD
29 Mar
vs Batman Petrolspor
1–2
L
25 Mar
@ Altınordu
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
0–2
L
11 Mar
@ Ankaragücü
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Elazığspor
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Adana 1954 FK
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karacabey Belediyespor and Kastamonuspor.
What is the prediction for Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
Our pick is Karacabey Belediyespor or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
On our numbers Karacabey Belediyespor have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kastamonuspor 16%.
How many goals will there be in Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
Our predicted score is Karacabey Belediyespor 2–0 Kastamonuspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Karacabey M. Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Karaman FK1
Altınordu1
Kepezspor1
Batman Petrolspor1
Muğlaspor0
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı1
Beykoz Anadolu0
24 Erzincanspor3
Adana 01 FK4
İnegölspor1