Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCimarrones to win ✓61% · @1.36
Double chanceCimarrones or draw ✓83% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Cimarrones vs Tritons Vallarta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 13 February: Cimarrones v Tritons Vallarta in the Liga Premier Serie A, played at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cimarrones 1.7 xG, Tritons Vallarta 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cimarrones 61%, draw 23%, Tritons Vallarta 17%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cimarrones 1–1 Tritons Vallarta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cimarrones61%fair 1.65 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.40
Tritons Vallarta17%fair 6.01 · @7.00
2.63Expected goals
1.73Cimarrones xG
0.91Tritons Vallarta xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cimarrones 1.7 – 0.9 Tritons Vallarta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cimarrones to win✓
61%
1.65
1.36
Double chance
Cimarrones or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Cimarrones (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Tritons Vallarta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.22
First team to score
Cimarrones to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cimarrones / FT Cimarrones✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Cimarrones
No recent results on record.
Tritons Vallarta
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cimarrones and Tritons Vallarta.
What is the prediction for Cimarrones vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cimarrones vs Tritons Vallarta?
On our numbers Cimarrones have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tritons Vallarta 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cimarrones vs Tritons Vallarta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cimarrones vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our predicted score is Cimarrones 1–1 Tritons Vallarta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cimarrones vs Tritons Vallarta?
Cimarrones vs Tritons Vallarta (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Héroes de Zaci1
Deportiva Venados4