Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultDurango to win ✓74% · @1.09
Double chanceDurango or draw ✓92% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Durango vs Ensenada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Durango welcome Ensenada to Estadio Francisco Zarco for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 21 March (03:00 WAT).
Current form
Durango, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over UA Zacatecas, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Durango 2.5 xG, Ensenada 0.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Durango 74%, draw 18%, Ensenada 8%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Durango 2–1 Ensenada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Durango74%fair 1.35 · @1.09
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @7.75
Ensenada8%fair 13.06 · @19.00
3.27Expected goals
2.51Durango xG
0.76Ensenada xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Durango 2.5 – 0.8 Ensenada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Durango to win✓
74%
1.35
1.09
Double chance
Durango or draw✓
92%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Draw no bet
Durango (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Durango -1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
2.00 ▲
First team to score
Durango to score first✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Durango ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Durango / FT Durango✓
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.98
–
Recent results
Durango – last 3
WWW
7 Mar
vs UA Zacatecas
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Colima
4–1
W
17 Feb
vs Leones Negros
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ensenada – last 2
WL
17 Mar
vs Reboceros La Piedad
6–1
W
7 Mar
@ Colima
1–4
L
3.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durango and Ensenada.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Durango vs Ensenada?
On our numbers Durango have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ensenada 8%.
How many goals will there be in Durango vs Ensenada?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durango vs Ensenada?
Our predicted score is Durango 2–1 Ensenada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Durango vs Ensenada?
Durango vs Ensenada (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Zarco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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