Value bet: Carolina Ascent W to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCarolina Ascent W to win ✓45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the USL Super League brings Carolina Ascent W against Lexington W at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Carolina Ascent W are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 12 matches; Lexington W are 5th (lower half) with 14. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Carolina Ascent W, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fort Lauderdale United W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Lexington W, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over DC Power W, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Carolina Ascent W, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Lexington W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carolina Ascent W 1.5 xG, Lexington W 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carolina Ascent W 45%, draw 25%, Lexington W 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Carolina Ascent W to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carolina Ascent W 1–1 Lexington W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carolina Ascent W45%fair 2.23 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.40
Lexington W30%fair 3.35 · @2.60
2.50Expected goals
1.52Carolina Ascent W xG
0.98Lexington W xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Carolina Ascent W 1.5 – 1.0 Lexington W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Carolina Ascent W
Lexington W
Attack vs USL Super League average
+12%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.50
0.74
Our own ratings from every USL Super League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carolina Ascent W to win✓
45%
2.23
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
Carolina Ascent W (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Lexington W +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
First team to score
Carolina Ascent W to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carolina Ascent W / FT Carolina Ascent W✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Carolina Ascent W – last 3
DWW
29 Mar
vs Fort Lauderdale United W
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ DC Power W
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lexington W – last 3
WDL
2 Apr
@ DC Power W
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Dallas Trinity W
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Dallas Trinity W
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carolina Ascent W and Lexington W.
What is the prediction for Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
On our numbers Carolina Ascent W have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lexington W 30%.
How many goals will there be in Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
Our predicted score is Carolina Ascent W 1–1 Lexington W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W (USL Super League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
