Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Baroka FC vs Upington City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Upington City travel to face Baroka FC on Sunday 17 May in the 1st Division, with Mafori Mphahlele Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Baroka FC, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cape Town City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Upington City, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Casric Stars, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Upington City, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.3 for Baroka FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baroka FC 1.1 xG, Upington City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baroka FC 31%, draw 26%, Upington City 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baroka FC 1–1 Upington City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baroka FC31%fair 3.23 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.30
Upington City43%fair 2.35 · @2.10
2.30Expected goals
1.06Baroka FC xG
1.25Upington City xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Baroka FC 1.1 – 1.2 Upington City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Upington City to win✗
43%
2.35
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Upington City (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Baroka FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Upington City to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Upington City / FT Upington City✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.02
–
Recent results
Baroka FC – last 6
LLDLDL
10 May
@ Cape Town City
0–1
L
1 May
@ Casric Stars
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Gomora United FC
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Midlands Wanderers
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Venda FC
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ University of Pretoria
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Upington City – last 5
LLWDW
10 May
vs Casric Stars
0–2
L
21 Apr
@ Midlands Wanderers
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Venda FC
3–1
W
1 Apr
@ Black Leopards
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Lerumo Lions
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baroka FC and Upington City.
What is the prediction for Baroka FC vs Upington City?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Baroka FC vs Upington City?
On our numbers Baroka FC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Upington City 43%.
How many goals will there be in Baroka FC vs Upington City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baroka FC vs Upington City?
Our predicted score is Baroka FC 1–1 Upington City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Baroka FC vs Upington City?
Baroka FC vs Upington City (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mafori Mphahlele Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Black Leopards0
Kruger United2