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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bayelsa United v Bendel Insurance: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Sapele Township Stadium
Bayelsa United 59%Draw 24%Bendel Insurance 17% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.80
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultBayelsa United to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceBayelsa United or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.31

Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bendel Insurance travel to face Bayelsa United on Sunday 15 February in the NPFL, with Sapele Township Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bayelsa United are 19th, in the drop zone, on 43 points after 38 matches; Bendel Insurance are 7th (upper half) with 53.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bayelsa United 1.7 xG, Bendel Insurance 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bayelsa United 59%, draw 24%, Bendel Insurance 17%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayelsa United 2–0 Bendel Insurance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bayelsa United59%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.10
Bendel Insurance17%fair 5.96 · @5.40
2.54Expected goals
1.74Bayelsa United xG
0.80Bendel Insurance xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Bayelsa United 1.7 – 0.8 Bendel Insurance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Bayelsa UnitedBendel Insurance
Attack vs NPFL average+13%+36%
Goals conceded vs average-10%+9%
Our expected goals here2.000.92

Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBayelsa United to win ✗59%1.681.65
Double chanceBayelsa United or draw ✓83%1.201.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.78–
Draw no betBayelsa United (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapBendel Insurance +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreBayelsa United to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultBayelsa United ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bayelsa United / FT Bayelsa United ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.31–

Recent results

Bayelsa United

No recent results on record.

Bendel Insurance

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bayelsa United and Bendel Insurance.

Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance?

On our numbers Bayelsa United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bendel Insurance 17%.

How many goals will there be in Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Our predicted score is Bayelsa United 2–0 Bendel Insurance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapele Township Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.