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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bayelsa United v Warri Wolves: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Sapele Township Stadium
2–1
FT
Bayelsa United 59%Draw 26%Warri Wolves 15% Expected goals 1.42 – 0.54
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBayelsa United to win ✓59% · @1.55
Double chanceBayelsa United or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.99

Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bayelsa United welcome Warri Wolves to Sapele Township Stadium for a NPFL fixture on Sunday 15 March (16:00 WAT). In the table, Bayelsa United are 19th, in the drop zone, on 43 points after 38 matches; Warri Wolves are 15th (lower half) with 49.

Current form

Bayelsa United, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kun Khalifat FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Warri Wolves, last 4: WDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Enyimba, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bayelsa United 1.4 xG, Warri Wolves 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bayelsa United 59%, draw 26%, Warri Wolves 15%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayelsa United 1–0 Warri Wolves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bayelsa United59%fair 1.70 · @1.55
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.30
Warri Wolves15%fair 6.49 · @6.00
1.96Expected goals
1.42Bayelsa United xG
0.54Warri Wolves xG
40%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Bayelsa United 1.4 – 0.5 Warri Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Bayelsa UnitedWarri Wolves
Attack vs NPFL average+13%-28%
Goals conceded vs average-10%-26%
Our expected goals here1.370.49

Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBayelsa United to win ✓59%1.701.55
Double chanceBayelsa United or draw ✓85%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗60%1.66–
Draw no betBayelsa United (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapWarri Wolves +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.521.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreBayelsa United to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bayelsa United / FT Bayelsa United ✓35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%4.99–

Recent results

Bayelsa United – last 4

LWDD
8 Mar@ Kun Khalifat FC0–1L
1 Marvs Rivers United1–0W
22 Feb@ Ikorodu City1–1D
15 Febvs Bendel Insurance0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Warri Wolves – last 4

WDDL
8 Marvs Enyimba2–1W
1 Mar@ Niger Tornadoes0–0D
21 Febvs Barau FC0–0D
15 Feb@ Shooting Stars2–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bayelsa United and Warri Wolves.

Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?

On our numbers Bayelsa United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Warri Wolves 15%.

How many goals will there be in Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?

Our predicted score is Bayelsa United 1–0 Warri Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves?

Bayelsa United vs Warri Wolves (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapele Township Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.