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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ikorodu City v Warri Wolves: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Mobolaji Johnson Arena
4–3
FT
Ikorodu City 62%Draw 25%Warri Wolves 13% Expected goals 1.46 – 0.56
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultIkorodu City to win ✓62% · @1.40
Double chanceIkorodu City or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.16

Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Warri Wolves travel to face Ikorodu City on Sunday 29 March in the NPFL, with Mobolaji Johnson Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ikorodu City are 4th, among the top four, on 58 points after 38 matches; Warri Wolves are 15th (lower half) with 49.

Current form

Ikorodu City, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kun Khalifat FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Warri Wolves, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bendel Insurance, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ikorodu City, collecting 1.6 points per game to 1.0 for Warri Wolves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ikorodu City 1.5 xG, Warri Wolves 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ikorodu City 62%, draw 25%, Warri Wolves 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ikorodu City 1–0 Warri Wolves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ikorodu City62%fair 1.61 · @1.40
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.70
Warri Wolves13%fair 7.53 · @7.50
2.02Expected goals
1.46Ikorodu City xG
0.56Warri Wolves xG
38%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%

From our goals model: Ikorodu City 1.5 – 0.6 Warri Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ikorodu CityWarri Wolves
Attack vs NPFL average+16%-28%
Goals conceded vs average+11%-26%
Our expected goals here1.410.61

Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIkorodu City to win ✓62%1.611.40
Double chanceIkorodu City or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗62%1.61–
Draw no betIkorodu City (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapWarri Wolves +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.571.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗95%1.06–
First team to scoreIkorodu City to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ikorodu City / FT Ikorodu City ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.16–

Recent results

Ikorodu City – last 5

DWLDW
22 Mar@ Kun Khalifat FC2–2D
16 Marvs Rivers United1–0W
1 Mar@ Bendel Insurance0–4L
22 Febvs Bayelsa United1–1D
15 Feb@ Enyimba1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Warri Wolves – last 6

DLWDDL
22 Marvs Bendel Insurance0–0D
15 Mar@ Bayelsa United1–2L
8 Marvs Enyimba2–1W
1 Mar@ Niger Tornadoes0–0D
21 Febvs Barau FC0–0D
15 Feb@ Shooting Stars2–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ikorodu City and Warri Wolves.

Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves?

On our numbers Ikorodu City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Warri Wolves 13%.

How many goals will there be in Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves?

Our predicted score is Ikorodu City 1–0 Warri Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves?

Ikorodu City vs Warri Wolves (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mobolaji Johnson Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.