Double chanceKwara United or draw ✓83% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35
Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Kwara United v El Kanemi Warriors in the NPFL, played at Akure Township Stadium. In the table, Kwara United are 12th, lower half, on 50 points after 38 matches; El Kanemi Warriors are 18th (in the drop zone) with 47. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kwara United, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Remo Stars, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
El Kanemi Warriors, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Katsina United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kwara United 1.5 xG, El Kanemi Warriors 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kwara United 63%, draw 20%, El Kanemi Warriors 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (84%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kwara United 1–0 El Kanemi Warriors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kwara United63%fair 1.59
Draw20%fair 4.97
El Kanemi Warriors17%fair 5.83
2.10Expected goals
1.52Kwara United xG
0.58El Kanemi Warriors xG
42%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Kwara United 1.5 – 0.6 El Kanemi Warriors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kwara United
El Kanemi Warriors
Attack vs NPFL average
-13%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.68
0.61
Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kwara United to win✓
63%
1.59
–
Double chance
Kwara United or draw✓
83%
1.21
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Kwara United (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Kwara United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Kwara United to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kwara United / FT Kwara United✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.35
–
Recent results
Kwara United – last 6
LDWLDD
22 Mar
@ Remo Stars
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Enugu Rangers
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Katsina United
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Abia Warriors
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Rivers United
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Kano Pillars
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
El Kanemi Warriors – last 4
DLLW
15 Mar
vs Katsina United
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Rivers United
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Kano Pillars
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Plateau United
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kwara United and El Kanemi Warriors.
What is the prediction for Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance.
Who will win Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?
On our numbers Kwara United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and El Kanemi Warriors 17%.
How many goals will there be in Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?
Our predicted score is Kwara United 1–0 El Kanemi Warriors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?
Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Akure Township Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
