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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Abia Warriors v Bayelsa United: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Umuahia Township Stadium
1–0
FT
Abia Warriors 48%Draw 22%Bayelsa United 30% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.89
82%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultAbia Warriors to win ✓48% · fair 2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.85

Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Abia Warriors welcome Bayelsa United to Umuahia Township Stadium for a NPFL fixture on Monday 6 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Abia Warriors are 6th, upper half, on 55 points after 38 matches; Bayelsa United are 19th (in the drop zone) with 43. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Abia Warriors, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Enyimba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Bayelsa United, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Kano Pillars, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Abia Warriors 1.3 xG, Bayelsa United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Abia Warriors 48%, draw 22%, Bayelsa United 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Abia Warriors 1–0 Bayelsa United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Abia Warriors48%fair 2.08
Draw22%fair 4.58
Bayelsa United30%fair 3.33
2.18Expected goals
1.29Abia Warriors xG
0.89Bayelsa United xG
43%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Abia Warriors 1.3 – 0.9 Bayelsa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
Attack vs NPFL average+2%+13%
Goals conceded vs average+14%-10%
Our expected goals here1.490.97

Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAbia Warriors to win ✓48%2.08–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.28–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betAbia Warriors (draw no bet) ✓62%1.63–
Asian handicapBayelsa United +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreAbia Warriors to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Abia Warriors / FT Abia Warriors ✗27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.85–

Recent results

Abia Warriors – last 6

LWLWWD
29 Mar@ Enyimba1–2L
23 Marvs Niger Tornadoes2–1W
15 Mar@ Barau FC0–2L
8 Marvs Shooting Stars2–0W
22 Febvs Kwara United1–0W
15 Feb@ Remo Stars1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bayelsa United – last 6

WLWLWD
29 Marvs Kano Pillars4–1W
22 Mar@ Plateau United0–1L
15 Marvs Warri Wolves2–1W
8 Mar@ Kun Khalifat FC0–1L
1 Marvs Rivers United1–0W
22 Feb@ Ikorodu City1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Abia Warriors and Bayelsa United.

Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance.

Who will win Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

On our numbers Abia Warriors have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bayelsa United 30%.

How many goals will there be in Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

Our predicted score is Abia Warriors 1–0 Bayelsa United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United (NPFL) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Umuahia Township Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.