Abia Warriors 48%Draw 22%Bayelsa United 30%Expected goals 1.29 – 0.89
82%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultAbia Warriors to win ✓48% · fair 2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.85
Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Abia Warriors welcome Bayelsa United to Umuahia Township Stadium for a NPFL fixture on Monday 6 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Abia Warriors are 6th, upper half, on 55 points after 38 matches; Bayelsa United are 19th (in the drop zone) with 43. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Abia Warriors, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Enyimba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Bayelsa United, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Kano Pillars, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Abia Warriors 1.3 xG, Bayelsa United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Abia Warriors 48%, draw 22%, Bayelsa United 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Abia Warriors 1–0 Bayelsa United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Abia Warriors48%fair 2.08
Draw22%fair 4.58
Bayelsa United30%fair 3.33
2.18Expected goals
1.29Abia Warriors xG
0.89Bayelsa United xG
43%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Abia Warriors 1.3 – 0.9 Bayelsa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Abia Warriors
Bayelsa United
Attack vs NPFL average
+2%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.49
0.97
Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Abia Warriors to win✓
48%
2.08
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Abia Warriors (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Bayelsa United +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Abia Warriors to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Abia Warriors / FT Abia Warriors✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.85
–
Recent results
Abia Warriors – last 6
LWLWWD
29 Mar
@ Enyimba
1–2
L
23 Mar
vs Niger Tornadoes
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Barau FC
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Shooting Stars
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Kwara United
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Remo Stars
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bayelsa United – last 6
WLWLWD
29 Mar
vs Kano Pillars
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Plateau United
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Warri Wolves
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Kun Khalifat FC
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Rivers United
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Ikorodu City
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Abia Warriors and Bayelsa United.
What is the prediction for Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance.
Who will win Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?
On our numbers Abia Warriors have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bayelsa United 30%.
How many goals will there be in Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?
Our predicted score is Abia Warriors 1–0 Bayelsa United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?
Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United (NPFL) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Umuahia Township Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.