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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Katsina United v Niger Tornadoes: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Muhammadu Dikko Stadium
1–0
FT
Katsina United 47%Draw 24%Niger Tornadoes 28% Expected goals 1.18 – 0.71
88%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultKatsina United to win ✓47% · fair 2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.58

Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Katsina United v Niger Tornadoes in the NPFL, played at Muhammadu Dikko Stadium. In the table, Katsina United are 9th, upper half, on 52 points after 37 matches; Niger Tornadoes are 16th (lower half) with 48.

Current form

Katsina United, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barau FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Niger Tornadoes, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Wikki Tourist, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Katsina United 1.2 xG, Niger Tornadoes 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Katsina United 47%, draw 24%, Niger Tornadoes 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (88%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Katsina United 1–0 Niger Tornadoes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Katsina United47%fair 2.11
Draw24%fair 4.09
Niger Tornadoes28%fair 3.56
1.88Expected goals
1.18Katsina United xG
0.71Niger Tornadoes xG
41%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–011%
2–17%

From our goals model: Katsina United 1.2 – 0.7 Niger Tornadoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Katsina UnitedNiger Tornadoes
Attack vs NPFL average+4%-26%
Goals conceded vs average+12%-26%
Our expected goals here1.260.62

Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKatsina United to win ✓47%2.11–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.32–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.68–
Draw no betKatsina United (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapNiger Tornadoes +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreKatsina United to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Katsina United / FT Katsina United ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18%5.58–

Recent results

Katsina United – last 5

DDLLW
29 Mar@ Barau FC0–0D
15 Mar@ El Kanemi Warriors1–1D
8 Marvs Kwara United1–2L
1 Mar@ Remo Stars0–2L
15 Febvs Nasarawa United1–0W
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Niger Tornadoes – last 6

WLWDLD
29 Marvs Wikki Tourist2–0W
23 Mar@ Abia Warriors1–2L
19 Marvs Rivers United1–0W
15 Marvs Kano Pillars0–0D
8 Mar@ Plateau United0–3L
1 Marvs Warri Wolves0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Katsina United and Niger Tornadoes.

Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 88% chance.

Who will win Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?

On our numbers Katsina United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Niger Tornadoes 28%.

How many goals will there be in Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Our predicted score is Katsina United 1–0 Niger Tornadoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Katsina United vs Niger Tornadoes (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Muhammadu Dikko Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.